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Smallholder farmers’ alignment with consumer preferences in cassava varietal selection: determinants and implications for value chain development in Kenya

Article scientifique 2026 Anglais

Résumé

Introduction Aligning production decisions with consumer preferences is a critical but underexplored driver of smallholder cassava enterprise performance in Kenya’s coastal region, where improved-variety adoption remains at only 30%. Methods A cross-sectional survey of 222 smallholder cassava farmers across three wards in Kilifi North Sub-County was conducted via KoboCollect. A novel Farmer Preference Alignment Score (FPAS), a bounded [0,1] continuous measure of correspondence between farmer varietal choice and consumer preference, was modelled using a Fractional Response Model (FRM) with robust standard errors. Results Farmers were predominantly female (66.67%), middle-aged (mean 45.36 years), with 16.61 years of farming experience. Market access type, extension service quality, and varietal experience were significant positive determinants of FPAS (all p < 0.001); off-farm income engagement was a significant negative determinant ( p < 0.001). Discussion Findings support targeted investment in market-linked extension delivery, participatory varietal selection, and consumer market information platforms under the Kilifi CIDP III (2023–2027).

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Rono, C., Gitau, R., Ngigi, M. (2026). Smallholder farmers’ alignment with consumer preferences in cassava varietal selection: determinants and implications for value chain development in Kenya. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2026.1882527

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