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Vpliv demografskih dinamik na varčevanje gospodinjstev v Južni Afriki pred pandemijo covida-19

Article scientifique 2025 Anglais

Résumé

This paper examines the effect of demographic dynamics on household saving in pre-COVID-19 South Africa, across all nine provinces of South Africa. The study used panel autoregressive distributed lag (PARDL) and Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality methods. The results revealed a longrun relationship between demographic dynamics and household saving in South Africa, showing that the White working age population had a significant effect on South Africa’s household saving in both the long-run and short-run, while the Black and Coloured working age population groups significantly impacted household saving only in the long-run. However, the Asian/Indian working age population had no effect on household saving in either the long run or short run. The Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality analysis revealed a bidirectional causality running between Asian/Indian, Black, and Coloured population groups and household saving, while a unidirectional causality was found running from the White population group to household saving.

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Nwogbo, A., Eita, J., Chetty, S. (2025). Vpliv demografskih dinamik na varčevanje gospodinjstev v Južni Afriki pred pandemijo covida-19.

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Auteur(s)

Afamefuna Emmanuel Nwogbo Joel Hinaunye Eita Sivan Chetty

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