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Spatial modeling, prediction and seasonal variation of malaria in northwest Ethiopia

Article scientifique 2019 Anglais

Résumé

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to determine the spatial modeling, seasonal variation of malaria and making prediction map of malaria in northwest Ethiopia. RESULTS: The overall average cumulative annual malaria incidence during the study period was 30 per 100 populations at risk. The highest proportion (29.2%) was observed from June 2015 to October 2016. In temporal analysis of clusters, the epidemic was observed from 2015/7/1 to 2016/12/31 throughout the study period in all districts. Hotspot areas with high clusters (p < 0.001) were observed in Metema district it accounts 18.6% of the total malaria cases. An area of high median predicted incidence proportion (> 50%) was seen in the southwest part of the region. Most of the northern part of the study area was predicted to have a low median incidence proportion (< 10%).

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Taddese, A., Baraki, A., Gelaye, K. (2019). Spatial modeling, prediction and seasonal variation of malaria in northwest Ethiopia. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13104-019-4305-1

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Auteur(s)

Asefa Adimasu Taddese Adhanom Gebreegziabher Baraki Kassahun Alemu Gelaye

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