Modeling Reference Evapotranspiration in a Semiarid Area Using Data-driven Techniques: A Case Study in Lower Cheliff plain, Algeria

Résumé

Abstract Evapotranspiration (ET) is an important part of the hydrologic cycle, especially when it comes to irrigated agriculture. For the estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ET0), direct methods either pose difficulties or call for many inputs that may not always be available from weather stations. This study compares Feed Forward Neural Network (FFNN), Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN). and Gene Expression Programming (GEP) approachs for the estimation of daily ET0 in a weather station in Lower Cheliff plain (northwest Algeria), over a 6-year period (2006–2011). Firstly, measured air temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, solar radiation and global radiation was used to calculate ET0 using FAO-56 Penman-Monteith equation as the reference. Then, the calculated ET0 using FAO-56 Penman-Monteith was considered as output for data driven models, while the measured meteorological data were considered as input of the models. The coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error (RMSE) and Nash Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (EF) were used to evaluate the developed models. The results of the developed models were compared with the Penman-Monteith evapotranspiration using these performance criteria. The FFNN model proved to yield the best performance compared to all the developed data-driven models, while the RBF-NN and GEP models also demonstrated potential for good performance.

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