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Nigeria: The Gulf of Guinea’s Energy Hub – Mapping the Pathway

Article scientifique 2025 Autre

Résumé

This research proposal investigates the impact of implementing a five-pillar HSSE-integrated framework known as PATHS (Protect, Advance, Trade, Harness, and Sustain) for the development of Nigeria's energy sector to ensure that the country becomes the energy hub of the Gulf of Guinea.The model involves the implementation of several developmental phases embedded within its fivepillar system, such as pipeline security and surveillance technology, community incentives for monitoring infrastructure, flare gas capture and conversion stations, and environmental protection structures through government and stakeholder investments.To model the result outcomes of the PATHS framework from 2025 to 2035, a Random Forest Regression (RFR) machine learning model was trained by studying key parameters such as project cost, amount of gas flared, oil spillage, energy revenue, electricity generation, pipeline vandalism, GDP growth rate and youth employment from historical data ranging from 2014 to 2024 with comparison data gotten from peer-resource nations such as Brazil, Qatar and Malaysia.The result obtained showed that pipeline vandalism could fall by 79%, electricity generation could rise from 15.98 GW to 63.6 GW, youth employment could grow from 68,000 to 850,000, Nigeria's energy revenue could grow by 70% and finally, the GDP growth rate was expected to be 8.81% for the year 2035.By implementing the PATHS framework, Nigeria not only stands to gain from being an energy hub, but other Gulf countries also gain a lot in terms of new investments as a result of regional stability.The PATHS framework represents a scalable pathway for the development of the energy sector in Nigeria and the Gulf of Guinea, reducing reliance on external sources of energy.

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Esiri, J., Oluwaseyi, A. (2025). Nigeria: The Gulf of Guinea’s Energy Hub – Mapping the Pathway. https://doi.org/10.55277/researchhub.nmflralb.1

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Auteur(s)

Justice Esiri Amaize Oluwaseyi

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